Democrats Lead in Five Republican-Held Senate States in Final New York Times/Siena Polls
Democratic candidates are ahead in Texas, Kansas, Maine, Ohio and Alaska in the last New York Times/Siena surveys before Tuesday's midterms, with Iowa virtually tied and Michigan's Abdul El-Sayed leading 53% to 42%.
Democrats are showing considerable strength in the final days ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, with new polling indicating the party is leading in five Republican-held Senate battleground states and maintaining a narrow advantage in another, according to an ANI report on the latest New York Times/Siena University polls read in full by this desk on Monday. Democrats are also leading in Michigan, a state where the party currently holds the Senate seat.
In Texas, Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton by 50% to 43%, and in Kansas, Democrat Chris Hamilton is ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, 49% to 44%, according to the surveys. In Maine, Democrat Graham Platner leads Republican Sen. Susan Collins, 51% to 45%, while in Ohio, Democrat Sherrod Brown is ahead of Republican Jon Husted, 49% to 44%. In Alaska, Democrat Mary Peltola holds a narrow lead over Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan, 48% to 46%, and Iowa remains closely contested, with Democrat Josh Turek at 48% and Republican Ashley Hinson at 47%. In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers by 53% to 42%.
The surveys covered 610 voters in Alaska, 705 in Iowa, 736 in Kansas, 714 in Maine, 1,011 in Michigan, 717 in Ohio and 1,215 in Texas, according to the report. Only 38% of likely voters across the seven surveyed states approved of President Donald Trump's job performance, and Democrats hold a nine-percentage-point advantage over Republicans on the cost of living across the battleground states, the polls found. The report also noted a caution for Democrats: voters who made their decisions within the last month favored Republicans by a nine-point margin.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled for elections on November 3, according to the report. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take control of the Senate and a net gain of three seats to secure a House majority of 218, according to NBC News figures cited in the report. The polls are a snapshot, not a result — Essex County voters deliver the real numbers when polls close Tuesday at 8 p.m.
